Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.176770 0.191592 0.207283 0.225167 0.245029 0.266461 0.291400
2026-01-11 0.151009 0.172055 0.195785 0.224682 0.259133 0.299159 0.349573
2026-01-18 0.132123 0.155866 0.183849 0.219587 0.264485 0.319652 0.393551
2026-01-25 0.117641 0.142504 0.172822 0.213012 0.265647 0.333322 0.428733
2026-02-01 0.107357 0.132951 0.165066 0.209010 0.268670 0.348499 0.466319
2026-02-08 0.098531 0.124310 0.157450 0.204043 0.269306 0.359751 0.498827
2026-02-15 0.091618 0.117519 0.151545 0.200575 0.271240 0.372410 0.534103
2026-02-22 0.087783 0.114468 0.150291 0.203206 0.281723 0.397975 0.591447
2026-03-01 0.083162 0.109977 0.146648 0.201988 0.286222 0.414700 0.636436
2026-03-08 0.078585 0.105224 0.142260 0.199238 0.287983 0.427069 0.675342
2026-03-15 0.073977 0.100140 0.137046 0.194798 0.286617 0.434091 0.705565
2026-03-22 0.072197 0.098986 0.137425 0.198801 0.298807 0.464245 0.780462
2026-03-29 0.069892 0.097018 0.136592 0.201041 0.308636 0.491969 0.856030
2026-04-05 0.067206 0.094348 0.134554 0.201237 0.315109 0.514617 0.925521
2026-04-12 0.063643 0.090166 0.129941 0.196901 0.313394 0.522265 0.965862
2026-04-19 0.060045 0.085750 0.124716 0.191180 0.308734 0.523908 0.993742
2026-04-26 0.057224 0.082394 0.120977 0.187688 0.307726 0.532269 1.037231
2026-05-03 0.054425 0.078942 0.116902 0.183346 0.304791 0.536528 1.072092
2026-05-10 0.052096 0.076124 0.113706 0.180313 0.304010 0.544921 1.117695
2026-05-17 0.051005 0.075219 0.113572 0.182614 0.313444 0.574965 1.219888
2026-05-24 0.049321 0.073283 0.111629 0.181549 0.316266 0.591466 1.291404
2026-05-31 0.047488 0.071026 0.109038 0.179143 0.316237 0.601814 1.348833
2026-06-07 0.045492 0.068425 0.105747 0.175256 0.312934 0.604627 1.386660